Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Oct 14, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Washington DC, 90°F (+20°).
- Coolest against normal: Denver, 48°F (−18°).
- 20 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Miami 11 days, Oklahoma City 11 days, Austin 10 days, Dallas 10 days.
- On a run below normal: Las Vegas 4 days, Phoenix 4 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Washington DC 90° (record 87°), Atlanta 87° (record 87°), Austin 95° (record 98°), San Antonio 95° (record 98°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 16 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM11 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements16 days ago, settled Oct 15, 10:11 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 87° | 3:04 PM | +12°normal 75° | 87° to 88°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 95° | 2:11 PM | +12°normal 83° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 77° | 12:31 PM | +14°normal 63° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (39¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 67° | 2:33 AM | +3°normal 64° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 93° | 3:51 PM | +14°normal 79° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 48° | 12:07 AM | −18°normal 66° | 48° to 49°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | 1:43 PM | +8°normal 83° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 75° | 3:14 PM | −7°normal 82° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 81° | 12:08 PM | +6°normal 75° | 80° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 84° | 11:36 AM | +13°normal 71° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (32¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 88° | 4:08 PM | +2°normal 86° | 88° to 89°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 55° | 3:44 PM | −4°normal 59° | 58° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 86° | 3:51 PM | +5°normal 81° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (68¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 77° | 2:59 PM | +12°normal 65° | 77° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 80° | 4:09 PM | +13°normal 67° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (39¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 77° | 3:36 PM | +3°normal 74° | 81° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 80° | 4:18 PM | +12°normal 68° | 80° or belowUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (38¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 78° | 4:33 PM | −12°normal 90° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 95° | 2:57 PM | +12°normal 83° | 95° to 96°Upset: favorite was 93° to 94° (56¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 76° | 3:20 PM | +1°normal 75° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (52¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 76° | 2:16 PM | +3°normal 73° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 2:01 PM | +6°normal 61° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 81° | 2:34 PM | +15°normal 66° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (35¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 90° | 2:25 PM | +20°normal 70° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 86-87°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 94-95°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 66-67°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 92-93°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 48-49°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 86-87°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 78-79°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 76-77°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam18°C
- Ankara16°C or below
- Beijing21°C
- Buenos Aires20°C
- Busan21°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu25°C
- Chongqing23°C
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong30°C
- Istanbul17°C
- Jeddah38°C or higher
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London19°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid28°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan21°C
- Moscow9°C
- Munich18°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris21°C
- Qingdao23°C
- Sao Paulo30°C
- Seoul19°C
- Shanghai24°C
- Shenzhen32°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto18°C
- Warsaw13°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan26°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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