Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 6, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Los Angeles, 94°F (+19°).
- Coolest against normal: New York City, 60°F (−8°).
- 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Los Angeles 30 days, San Diego 12 days, Las Vegas 7 days, Seattle 6 days.
- On a run below normal: New Orleans 4 days, New York City 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Denver 87° (record 87°), Miami 90° (record 93°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 15 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements23 days ago, settled Oct 7, 10:13 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 78° | 3:49 PM | 0°normal 78° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 90° | 4:37 PM | +4°normal 86° | 90° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 63° | 2:48 PM | −3°normal 66° | 62° to 63°Upset: favorite was 60° to 61° (49¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 74° | 3:38 PM | +6°normal 68° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 87° | 3:43 PM | +5°normal 82° | 87° or aboveUpset: favorite was 85° to 86° (47¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 87° | 2:07 PM | +17°normal 70° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 91° | — | +6°normal 85° | 90° to 91°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 95° | 3:06 PM | +9°normal 86° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 94° | 9:58 AM | +19°normal 75° | 94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (31¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 76° | 4:44 PM | +1°normal 75° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 90° | 12:58 PM | +3°normal 87° | 89° to 90°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 82° | 4:03 PM | +18°normal 64° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (44¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 83° | 11:54 AM | −1°normal 84° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (50¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 60° | 4:36 PM | −8°normal 68° | 62° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 64° | 3:55 PM | −6°normal 70° | 63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (61¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 86° | 3:35 PM | +9°normal 77° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 65° | 4:00 PM | −6°normal 71° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 98° | 4:26 PM | +5°normal 93° | 97° to 98°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (54¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 89° | 3:29 PM | +4°normal 85° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (50¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 93° | 1:01 PM | +18°normal 75° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 96° or above (34¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 80° | 3:15 PM | +6°normal 74° | 80° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 66° | 4:12 PM | +2°normal 64° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 62° | 4:13 PM | −7°normal 69° | 62° to 63°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 66° | 3:48 PM | −7°normal 73° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 76-77°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 90-91°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 74-75°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 86-87°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 86-87°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 90-91°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 94-95°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 88-89°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 80-81°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam21°C
- Ankara21°C
- Beijing25°C
- Buenos Aires23°C
- Busan23°C
- Cape Town17°C
- Chengdu27°C
- Chongqing24°C
- Guangzhou27°C
- Helsinki15°C
- Hong Kong28°C
- Istanbul19°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi32°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London21°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid22°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City21°C
- Milan23°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich22°C
- Panama City29°C
- Paris25°C
- Qingdao27°C
- Sao Paulo23°C
- Seoul21°C
- Shanghai24°C
- Shenzhen26°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv27°C
- Tokyo26°C
- Toronto14°C
- Warsaw21°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan27°C