Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Sep 26, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 94°F (+14°).
  • Coolest against normal: Newark, 63°F (−11°).
  • 11 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 55 days, Austin 43 days, Los Angeles 20 days, Oklahoma City 16 days.
  • On a run below normal: Chicago 9 days, Seattle 9 days, Boston 8 days, New York City 8 days.
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements33 days ago, settled Sep 27, 10:20 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL81°0°normal 81°81° to 82°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS94°+6°normal 88°94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (55¢)
BostonLogan · KBOS61°−8°normal 69°61° to 62°✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW68°−5°normal 73°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW95°+9°normal 86°94° to 95°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN81°+6°normal 75°81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (50¢)
HoustonHobby · KHOU91°+4°normal 87°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS96°+5°normal 91°96° to 97°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX81°+5°normal 76°81° to 82°✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF79°0°normal 79°78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (48¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA88°0°normal 88°87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (48¢)
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP61°−8°normal 69°61° or belowUpset: favorite was 62° to 63° (44¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY87°+1°normal 86°86° to 87°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC61°−11°normal 72°61° or below✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR63°−11°normal 74°62° to 63°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC94°+14°normal 80°94° to 95°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (43¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL68°−7°normal 75°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (73¢)
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX100°+3°normal 97°100° to 101°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT95°+7°normal 88°94° to 95°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN81°+5°normal 76°80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (41¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO69°−6°normal 75°68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (46¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA64°−4°normal 68°63° to 64°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN64°−9°normal 73°64° to 65°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA68°−9°normal 77°67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 75° or above (25¢)

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Sat, Sep 26

Every settled day

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Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta80-81°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin92-93°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago68-69°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas94-95°FKDALholds Kalshi's high
Denver82-83°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston90-91°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles80-81°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami86-87°FKMIAcame out apart
New York City62-63°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco68-69°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle64-65°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high