Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 13, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 101°F (+16°).
  • Coolest against normal: Seattle, 60°F (−13°).
  • 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 42 days, Austin 30 days, Phoenix 9 days, San Antonio 9 days.
  • On a run below normal: Seattle 4 days, San Francisco 3 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: San Antonio 100° (record 100°), Austin 101° (record 102°), Oklahoma City 101° (record 102°), Denver 94° (record 96°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 15 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements46 days ago, settled Sep 14, 10:20 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL90°+5°normal 85°90° to 91°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS101°+9°normal 92°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS70°−4°normal 74°69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (41¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW75°−3°normal 78°74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (42¢)
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW101°+12°normal 89°100° to 101°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN94°+13°normal 81°93° to 94°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU93°+3°normal 90°93° to 94°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS102°+6°normal 96°102° to 103°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX79°+2°normal 77°78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (54¢)
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF93°+10°normal 83°92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (56¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA92°+3°normal 89°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP72°−2°normal 74°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY92°+3°normal 89°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC79°+2°normal 77°78° to 79°✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR83°+4°normal 79°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC101°+16°normal 85°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL85°+5°normal 80°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (45¢)
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX105°+3°normal 102°105° to 106°Upset: favorite was 103° to 104° (51¢)
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT100°+9°normal 91°100° to 101°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (54¢)
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN78°0°normal 78°77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (40¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO71°−4°normal 75°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA60°−13°normal 73°63° or below✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN82°+4°normal 78°81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 78° or below (50¢)
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA89°+7°normal 82°88° to 89°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Sun, Sep 13

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta90-91°FKATLholds Kalshi's high
Austin100-101°FKAUSholds Kalshi's high
Chicago74-75°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas98-99°FKDALcame out apart
Denver94-95°FKBKFholds Kalshi's high
Houston92-93°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles78-79°FKLAXholds Kalshi's high
Miami90-91°FKMIAcame out apart
New York City80-81°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco70-71°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle60-61°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high