Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Fri, Aug 28, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 100°F (+10°).
  • Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 65°F (−9°).
  • 22 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 26 days, Oklahoma City 26 days, Atlanta 21 days, Miami 21 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Denver 95° (record 96°), Las Vegas 107° (record 110°), Los Angeles 86° (record 89°), Miami 93° (record 96°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements62 days ago, settled Aug 29, 3:34 PM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL93°+5°normal 88°92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (58¢)
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS102°+7°normal 95°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS83°+4°normal 79°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW84°+3°normal 81°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (54¢)
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW102°+8°normal 94°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN95°+9°normal 86°94° to 95°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU96°+4°normal 92°96° to 97°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS107°+6°normal 101°106° to 107°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX86°+9°normal 77°86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 90° or above (44¢)
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF88°+1°normal 87°88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (74¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA93°+3°normal 90°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP83°+4°normal 79°82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (60¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY93°+2°normal 91°92° or aboveUpset: favorite was 90° to 91° (44¢)
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC84°+2°normal 82°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (41¢)
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR87°+4°normal 83°87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (71¢)
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC100°+10°normal 90°99° to 100°Upset: favorite was 97° to 98° (46¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL87°+3°normal 84°87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (41¢)
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX112°+7°normal 105°112° to 113°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT100°+6°normal 94°99° to 100°Upset: favorite was 97° to 98° (47¢)
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN84°+6°normal 78°85° or belowUpset: favorite was 90° to 91° (42¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO65°−9°normal 74°65° or belowUpset: favorite was 68° to 69° (36¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA73°−3°normal 76°73° to 74°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN83°+1°normal 82°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA90°+4°normal 86°89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (41¢)

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Fri, Aug 28

Every settled day

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Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta90-91°FKATLcame out apart
Austin100-101°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago82-83°FKORDcame out apart
Dallas100-101°FKDALcame out apart
Denver92-93°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston94-95°FKHOUcame out apart
Los Angeles84-85°FKLAXcame out apart
Miami92-93°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City84-85°FKLGAholds Kalshi's high
San Francisco64-65°FKSFOholds Kalshi's high
Seattle72-73°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high