Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Aug 23, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 21 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Dallas, 109°F (+14°).
- Coolest against normal: Boston, 71°F (−9°).
- 14 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 21 days, Oklahoma City 21 days, Atlanta 16 days, Miami 16 days.
- On a run below normal: Philadelphia 4 days, Trenton 4 days, Boston 3 days, New York City 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Dallas 109° (record 107°), Austin 105° (record 105°), Las Vegas 110° (record 110°), Phoenix 113° (record 114°), San Antonio 103° (record 104°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 21 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements67 days ago, settled Aug 24, 11:13 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 93° | 2:10 PM | +5°normal 88° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (43¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 105° | 3:50 PM | +9°normal 96° | 104° to 105°Upset: favorite was 106° to 107° (53¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 71° | 4:06 PM | −9°normal 80° | 76° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 76° | 3:55 PM | −6°normal 82° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (44¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 109° | 2:10 PM | +14°normal 95° | 109° to 110°Upset: favorite was 105° to 106° (41¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 93° | — | +6°normal 87° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (35¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 99° | 3:48 PM | +6°normal 93° | 98° to 99°Upset: favorite was 100° to 101° (53¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 110° | 2:07 PM | +8°normal 102° | 109° to 110°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 85° | 12:30 PM | +8°normal 77° | 85° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 84° | 3:19 PM | −4°normal 88° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 93° | 12:23 PM | +2°normal 91° | 92° to 93°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 80° | 5:01 PM | 0°normal 80° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 97° | 3:21 PM | +6°normal 91° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (50¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 80° | 2:14 PM | −3°normal 83° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 83° | 4:25 PM | −1°normal 84° | not settled yet |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 101° | 5:17 PM | +10°normal 91° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 100° or below (64¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 84° | 4:38 PM | −1°normal 85° | 84° to 85°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 113° | 3:48 PM | +8°normal 105° | 112° to 113°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 103° | 3:54 PM | +8°normal 95° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 87° | 1:11 PM | +9°normal 78° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 84° to 85° (53¢)settled 8:13 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 77° | 12:41 PM | +3°normal 74° | 77° or aboveUpset: favorite was 73° to 74° (34¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 75° | 3:56 PM | −2°normal 77° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 81° | 4:29 PM | −2°normal 83° | not settled yet |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 87° | 2:42 PM | 0°normal 87° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 92-93°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 104-105°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 76-77°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 108-109°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 92-93°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 98-99°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 91°F or below | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 82-83°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 76-77°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 74-75°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara35°C
- Beijing33°C
- Buenos Aires12°C
- Busan35°C
- Cape Town19°C
- Chengdu32°C
- Chongqing37°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki15°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul28°C
- Jeddah40°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi30°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London24°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid34°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City22°C
- Milan28°C
- Moscow23°C
- Munich23°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris24°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo24°C
- Seoul32°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen33°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv32°C
- Tokyo31°C
- Toronto20°C
- Warsaw19°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan35°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher