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How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 27, 3:20 AM EDT.

  • 22 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 75°F (+21°).
  • Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 77°F (−9°).
  • 12 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Minneapolis 8 days, Chicago 7 days, Louisville 6 days, Austin 5 days.
  • On a run below normal: Miami 4 days, Las Vegas 3 days.
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 14 of 22 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM4 days ago, fetched Oct 27, 3:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements5 days ago, settled Oct 25, 10:12 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL70°−2°normal 72°69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (56¢)
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS88°+8°normal 80°87° to 88°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS56°−3°normal 59°not settled yet
ChicagoMidway · KMDW70°+10°normal 60°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW84°+9°normal 75°84° to 85°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN57°−5°normal 62°57° to 58°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU84°+4°normal 80°83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (63¢)
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS74°−4°normal 78°not settled yet
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX76°+2°normal 74°75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (49¢)
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF73°+6°normal 67°72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (68¢)
MiamiMiami International · KMIA84°−1°normal 85°84° to 85°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP75°+21°normal 54°74° to 75°✓ favorite came in
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY79°+1°normal 78°78° to 79°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC60°−2°normal 62°59° to 60°Upset: favorite was 61° to 62° (62¢)
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR64°+1°normal 63°64° to 65°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC80°+10°normal 70°79° to 80°✓ favorite came in
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL63°−1°normal 64°63° to 64°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX77°−9°normal 86°77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (57¢)
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT85°+5°normal 80°84° to 85°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN74°0°normal 74°74° to 75°✓ favorite came in
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO74°+3°normal 71°74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (44¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA55°−3°normal 58°54° to 55°Upset: favorite was 56° to 57° (42¢)
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN62°−1°normal 63°62° to 63°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA64°−3°normal 67°64° to 65°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Sat, Oct 24

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta68-69°F—came out apart
Austin86-87°F—came out apart
Chicago70-71°F—holds Kalshi's high
Dallas82-83°F—came out apart
Denver58-59°F—came out apart
Houston84-85°F—holds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles74-75°F—came out apart
Miami82-83°F—came out apart
New York City62-63°F—came out apart
San Francisco72-73°F—came out apart
Seattle54-55°F—holds Kalshi's high