Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Oct 28, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 30, 4:20 AM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 72°F (+20°).
- Coolest against normal: Boston, 52°F (−6°).
- 19 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Chicago 11 days, Louisville 10 days, Austin 9 days, Dallas 9 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Miami 88° (record 90°), Minneapolis 72° (record 75°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 12 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM26 h ago, fetched Oct 30, 4:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements44 h ago, settled Oct 29, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 75° | 2:01 PM | +5°normal 70° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (62¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 81° | 1:41 PM | +3°normal 78° | 81° or belowUpset: favorite was 84° to 85° (39¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 52° | 2:53 PM | −6°normal 58° | 53° or belowUpset: favorite was 54° to 55° (45¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 76° | 3:29 PM | +18°normal 58° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 83° | 3:53 PM | +9°normal 74° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 66° | 2:19 PM | +6°normal 60° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (43¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 82° | 3:18 PM | +4°normal 78° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (49¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 80° | 2:51 PM | +4°normal 76° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 75° | 1:11 PM | +1°normal 74° | 75° to 76°Upset: favorite was 73° to 74° (52¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 78° | 4:07 PM | +12°normal 66° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 88° | 1:17 PM | +4°normal 84° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (65¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 72° | 3:15 PM | +20°normal 52° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (38¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 80° | 3:26 PM | +3°normal 77° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (55¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 61° | 2:54 PM | +1°normal 60° | 60° to 61°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 63° | 1:19 PM | +1°normal 62° | 63° to 64°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 80° | 3:05 PM | +12°normal 68° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 67° | 2:58 PM | +4°normal 63° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 84° | 4:40 PM | −1°normal 85° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (67¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 82° | 4:13 PM | +4°normal 78° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 74° | 1:45 PM | 0°normal 74° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 69° | 2:40 PM | −1°normal 70° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 54° | 2:56 PM | −2°normal 56° | 53° to 54°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 64° | 2:04 PM | +3°normal 61° | 63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (63¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 69° | 11:57 AM | +4°normal 65° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
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- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Wed, Sep 23
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- Sat, Sep 19
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- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
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- Tue, Aug 25
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- Sun, Aug 23
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- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 74-75°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 80-81°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 76-77°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 82-83°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 66-67°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 82-83°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 74-75°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 86-87°F | — | came out apart |
| New York City | 62-63°F | — | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 68-69°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 54-55°F | — | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam15°C
- Ankara19°C
- Beijing16°C
- Buenos Aires25°C
- Busan17°C
- Cape Town23°C
- Chengdu20°C
- Chongqing16°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong27°C
- Istanbul16°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi37°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London17°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid23°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan17°C
- Moscow13°C
- Munich12°C
- Panama City30°C
- Paris16°C
- Qingdao19°C
- Sao Paulo21°C
- Seoul12°C
- Shanghai21°C
- Shenzhen29°C
- Singapore30°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo20°C
- Toronto16°C
- Warsaw10°C
- Wellington17°C
- Wuhan20°C