Kalshi goes by the thermometer at William P. Hobby Airport, Houston (KHOU), not Bush Intercontinental (IAH). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 5:21 AM CDT.
Houston so far today: the high is 74°F (hourly reading, 2:53 AM), in the 78° or below bracket. The favorite is 83° to 84° at 43¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 9° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT. 7 reports from KHOU from 1:00 AM to 6:13 AM CDT, between 71°F and 74°F; the latest 72°F at 5:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 87° or above | 3¢ | |
| 85° to 86° | 12¢ | |
| 83° to 84° | 43¢ | favorite |
| 81° to 82° | 36¢ | |
| 79° to 80° | 13¢ | |
| 78° or below | 2¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 72°F |
| 4:53 AM | 73°F |
| 4:45 AM | 73°F |
| 3:53 AM | 74°F |
| 2:53 AM | 74°F |
| 1:53 AM | 72°F |
| 1:41 AM | 71°F |
Which bracket will Houston settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
Create a free account to play: calls on your 3 cities, your record beside the market's favorite and the model's.
Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 20 min ago
High so far today
74°F
hourly reading at 2:53 AM, 7 reports so far
Latest reading
72°F
taken 5:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
18 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87° or above | 3¢ | 2¢ | 3¢ | 112 × 162 | 1,024 |
| 85° to 86° | 12¢ | 11¢ | 12¢ | 100 × 43 | 856 |
| 83° to 84°favorite | 43¢ | 42¢ | 42¢ | 19 × 194 | 499 |
| 81° to 82° | 36¢ | 35¢ | 35¢ | 29 × 201 | 1,165 |
| 79° to 80° | 13¢ | 12¢ | 13¢ | 18 × 174 | 582 |
| 78° or belowhigh so far 74° | 2¢ | 1¢ | 4¢ | 558 × 55 | 59 |
71°F
Favorite 71° or above at 88¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 1:41 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 18 h 47 min.
From KHOU's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU): 74°F at 2:53 AM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 82°–83° at 48¢.
Same station as Kalshi, but Polymarket settles on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KHOU) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5:53 AM | 72° | METAR KHOU 311053Z 06003KT 10SM FEW015 BKN060 22/21 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP169 T02220211 | ||
| 4:53 AM | 73° | METAR KHOU 310953Z 12005KT 10SM FEW010 BKN060 BKN090 23/21 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP168 T02280211 | ||
| 4:45 AM | 73° | SPECI KHOU 310945Z 10008KT 10SM FEW011 BKN060 OVC075 23/22 A3001 RMK AO2 T02280217 | ||
| 3:53 AM | 74° | METAR KHOU 310853Z 12009KT 10SM SCT011 BKN020 OVC060 23/22 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP168 T02330217 56005 | ||
| 2:53 AM | 74° | METAR KHOU 310753Z 11006KT 10SM BKN011 OVC019 23/22 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP170 T02330217 | ||
| 1:53 AM | 72° | METAR KHOU 310653Z 10005KT 10SM BKN010 BKN019 OVC060 22/21 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP169 T02220211 | ||
| 1:41 AM | 71° | SPECI KHOU 310641Z 00000KT 10SM BKN012 OVC065 22/21 A3002 RMK AO2 T02170206 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KHOU (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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