Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Oct 21, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 22, 10:12 AM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 74°F (+19°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 65°F (−7°).
- 17 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: San Diego 8 days, Denver 5 days, Minneapolis 5 days, Chicago 4 days.
- On a run below normal: New Orleans 5 days, San Francisco 4 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 8 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 22, 7:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements9 days ago, settled Oct 22, 10:12 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 75° | 3:41 PM | +2°normal 73° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (68¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 85° | 3:54 PM | +4°normal 81° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:17 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 56° | 12:35 PM | −4°normal 60° | 56° to 57°Upset: favorite was 54° to 55° (51¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 71° | 3:11 PM | +10°normal 61° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (59¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 81° | 4:19 PM | +4°normal 77° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 75° | 2:21 PM | +12°normal 63° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (58¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 84° | 3:56 PM | +3°normal 81° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 85° | 1:49 PM | +6°normal 79° | 84° or aboveUpset: favorite was 82° to 83° (47¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 74° | 9:51 AM | 0°normal 74° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 75° or above (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 75° | 3:28 PM | +6°normal 69° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 84° | 3:29 PM | −1°normal 85° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (67¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 74° | 3:47 PM | +19°normal 55° | 73° to 74°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 78° | 3:48 PM | −1°normal 79° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 62° | 3:15 PM | −1°normal 63° | 61° to 62°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 65° | 3:36 PM | +1°normal 64° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 80° | 3:19 PM | +9°normal 71° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (60¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 67° | 2:33 PM | +2°normal 65° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 92° | 1:29 PM | +5°normal 87° | 92° or aboveUpset: favorite was 90° to 91° (29¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 84° | 4:11 PM | +3°normal 81° | 83° to 84°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (64¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 77° | 3:29 PM | +3°normal 74° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (52¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 6:55 PM | −7°normal 72° | 65° to 66°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (43¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 64° | 3:50 PM | +5°normal 59° | 63° to 64°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (51¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 66° | 2:13 PM | +2°normal 64° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (65¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 68° | 3:06 PM | 0°normal 68° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 74-75°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 84-85°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 70-71°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 82-83°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 76-77°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 84-85°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 72-73°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 84-85°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 64-65°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam13°C
- Ankara20°C or higher
- Beijing17°C
- Buenos Aires19°C
- Busan22°C
- Cape Town20°C
- Chengdu22°C
- Chongqing22°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul22°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi38°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London13°C
- Lucknow31°C
- Madrid19°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City22°C
- Milan18°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich11°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris15°C
- Qingdao15°C
- Sao Paulo24°C
- Seoul17°C
- Shanghai21°C
- Shenzhen36°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv27°C
- Tokyo29°C
- Toronto15°C
- Warsaw16°C
- Wellington18°C
- Wuhan21°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
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