Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Aug 26, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 23 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Phoenix, 117°F (+12°).
- Coolest against normal: Louisville, 85°F (−3°).
- 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 24 days, Oklahoma City 24 days, Atlanta 19 days, Miami 19 days.
- On a run below normal: Trenton 7 days, New York City 6 days, Louisville 5 days, Washington DC 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Las Vegas 110° (record 109°), Phoenix 117° (record 117°), Miami 92° (record 94°), San Antonio 101° (record 103°), Austin 103° (record 106°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 17 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements64 days ago, settled Aug 27, 10:51 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 91° | 4:02 PM | +3°normal 88° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 103° | 4:49 PM | +7°normal 96° | 103° to 104°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 78° | 1:53 PM | −1°normal 79° | 78° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 85° | 2:58 PM | +3°normal 82° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 101° | 4:29 PM | +7°normal 94° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 87° | — | +1°normal 86° | 86° to 87°Upset: favorite was 88° or above (52¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 99° | — | +6°normal 93° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 110° | 2:36 PM | +9°normal 101° | 109° to 110°Upset: favorite was 111° to 112° (50¢)settled 7:17 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 87° | 3:23 PM | +10°normal 77° | 86° to 87°✓ favorite came insettled 7:17 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 85° | 5:19 PM | −3°normal 88° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 92° | 1:11 PM | +2°normal 90° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 82° | 4:44 PM | +3°normal 79° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 95° | 3:16 PM | +4°normal 91° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 81° | 1:39 PM | −1°normal 82° | 80° to 81°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 84° | 4:12 PM | 0°normal 84° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 10:51 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 94° | 5:23 PM | +4°normal 90° | 94° to 95°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 86° | 3:33 PM | +1°normal 85° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 117° | 3:16 PM | +12°normal 105° | 117° to 118°Upset: favorite was 115° to 116° (54¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 101° | 3:16 PM | +6°normal 95° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 89° | 1:58 PM | +11°normal 78° | 88° to 89°Upset: favorite was 85° or below (49¢)settled 7:20 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 77° | 1:15 PM | +3°normal 74° | 76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 78° to 79° (28¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 77° | 5:27 PM | +1°normal 76° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:18 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 82° | 3:44 PM | −1°normal 83° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 10:51 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 86° | 3:18 PM | −1°normal 87° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 87° to 88° (47¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 90-91°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 84-85°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 100-101°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 86-87°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 98-99°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 86-87°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 82-83°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 76-77°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 76-77°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam26°C
- Ankara33°C
- Beijing28°C
- Buenos Aires17°C
- Busan34°C
- Cape Town25°C
- Chengdu36°C
- Chongqing38°C
- Guangzhou31°C
- Helsinki21°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul28°C
- Jeddah37°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi33°C
- Kuala Lumpur32°C
- London26°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid30°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan29°C
- Moscow17°C
- Munich28°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris29°C
- Qingdao32°C
- Sao Paulo25°C
- Seoul30°C
- Shanghai32°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore31°C
- Tel Aviv33°C
- Tokyo33°C
- Toronto24°C
- Warsaw23°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan37°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher