Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Aug 17, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 20 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Dallas, 106°F (+10°).
- Coolest against normal: Chicago, 78°F (−5°).
- 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 15 days, Oklahoma City 15 days, Atlanta 10 days, Miami 10 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 5 days, New York City 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Miami 95° (record 96°), Phoenix 113° (record 115°), Atlanta 98° (record 101°), Dallas 106° (record 109°).
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements73 days ago, settled Aug 18, 1:40 PM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 98° | 4:17 PM | +9°normal 89° | 97° to 98°settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 104° | 3:56 PM | +7°normal 97° | 104° to 105°settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 76° | 1:05 PM | −5°normal 81° | 76° to 77°settled 7:11 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 78° | 4:56 PM | −5°normal 83° | 78° to 79°settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 106° | 3:11 PM | +10°normal 96° | 106° to 107°settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 93° | 3:43 PM | +6°normal 87° | 93° or abovesettled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 4:43 PM | +2°normal 94° | 95° to 96°settled 7:12 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 108° | 4:18 PM | +5°normal 103° | 107° or abovesettled 7:11 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 78° | 11:37 AM | +1°normal 77° | 78° to 79°settled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 87° | 4:43 PM | −2°normal 89° | not settled yet |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 95° | 2:14 PM | +4°normal 91° | 94° to 95°settled 7:20 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 85° | 4:03 PM | +4°normal 81° | 84° to 85°settled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 95° | 1:03 PM | +4°normal 91° | 95° to 96°settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 81° | 4:18 PM | −2°normal 83° | 83° or belowsettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 85° | 4:49 PM | 0°normal 85° | not settled yet |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 98° | 3:06 PM | +6°normal 92° | 98° to 99°settled 7:12 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 89° | — | +3°normal 86° | 89° to 90°settled 1:40 PM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 113° | 2:49 PM | +9°normal 104° | 112° to 113°settled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 100° | 4:51 PM | +4°normal 96° | 99° to 100°settled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 80° | 12:27 PM | +3°normal 77° | not settled yet |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 72° | 1:18 PM | −1°normal 73° | 71° to 72°settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 80° | 3:59 PM | +2°normal 78° | 79° to 80°settled 7:12 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 85° | 3:55 PM | +1°normal 84° | not settled yet |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 94° | 3:33 PM | +6°normal 88° | 94° to 95°settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
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The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 98-99°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 78-79°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 104-105°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 92-93°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 96-97°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 94-95°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 80-81°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 70-71°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 78-79°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam21°C
- Ankara27°C
- Beijing33°C
- Buenos Aires15°C
- Busan26°C
- Cape Town17°C
- Chengdu27°C
- Chongqing36°C
- Guangzhou34°C
- Helsinki22°C
- Hong Kong32°C
- Istanbul25°C
- Jeddah41°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi31°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London27°C
- Lucknow28°C
- Madrid38°C
- Manila30°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan31°C
- Moscow23°C
- Munich27°C
- Panama City26°C
- Paris29°C
- Qingdao32°C
- Sao Paulo29°C
- Seoul28°C
- Shanghai31°C
- Shenzhen34°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv31°C
- Tokyo29°C
- Toronto26°C
- Warsaw24°C
- Wellington10°C
- Wuhan34°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher