Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 27, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 30, 4:20 AM EDT.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 23 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Chicago, 69°F (+11°).
- Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 66°F (−4°).
- 18 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Chicago 10 days, Louisville 9 days, Austin 8 days, Dallas 8 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 13 of 23 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM2 days ago, fetched Oct 30, 4:20 AM EDTKalshi settlements3 days ago, settled Oct 28, 10:11 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 74° | 3:55 PM | +3°normal 71° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 83° | 3:20 PM | +4°normal 79° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 57° | 12:10 AM | −1°normal 58° | 57° to 58°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 69° | 5:37 PM | +11°normal 58° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (57¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 83° | 3:55 PM | +9°normal 74° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 64° | 1:49 PM | +3°normal 61° | 64° or belowUpset: favorite was 65° to 66° (35¢)settled 7:07 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 75° | 4:54 PM | −4°normal 79° | 79° or belowUpset: favorite was 80° to 81° (47¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 81° | 3:41 PM | +5°normal 76° | 81° to 82°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 75° | 1:32 PM | +1°normal 74° | 74° to 75°Upset: favorite was 76° to 77° (63¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 77° | 2:42 PM | +11°normal 66° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 84° | 12:30 PM | 0°normal 84° | 83° to 84°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 56° | 9:53 PM | +4°normal 52° | not settled yet |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 80° | 2:01 PM | +3°normal 77° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 61° | 12:27 AM | 0°normal 61° | 60° to 61°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 64° | 2:27 PM | +2°normal 62° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (71¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 78° | 2:58 PM | +9°normal 69° | 77° to 78°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 66° | 3:59 PM | +3°normal 63° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 87° | 3:55 PM | +2°normal 85° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 82° | 12:36 PM | +3°normal 79° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 78° or below (64¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 75° | 1:08 PM | +1°normal 74° | 75° to 76°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 66° | 1:41 PM | −4°normal 70° | 66° to 67°Upset: favorite was 64° to 65° (64¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 57° | 2:19 PM | 0°normal 57° | 56° to 57°Upset: favorite was 54° to 55° (53¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 64° | 3:11 PM | +3°normal 61° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 72° | 2:14 PM | +7°normal 65° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 70° to 71° (59¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 74-75°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 82-83°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 68-69°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 82-83°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 62-63°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 74-75°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 74-75°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 82-83°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 62-63°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 56-57°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam16°C
- Ankara18°C
- Beijing15°C
- Buenos Aires19°C
- Busan19°C
- Cape Town23°C
- Chengdu19°C
- Chongqing19°C
- Guangzhou32°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul15°C
- Jeddah38°C
- Karachi38°C
- Kuala Lumpur31°C
- London17°C
- Lucknow32°C
- Madrid23°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City23°C
- Milan17°C
- Moscow12°C
- Munich16°C
- Panama City29°C
- Paris16°C
- Qingdao18°C
- Sao Paulo21°C
- Seoul16°C
- Shanghai21°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv29°C
- Tokyo21°C
- Toronto10°C
- Warsaw13°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan21°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
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