Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Denver International Airport (KDEN). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 MDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 4:20 AM MDT.
Denver so far today: the high is 48°F (hourly reading, 1:53 AM), in the 57° or below bracket. The favorite is 62° to 63° at 42¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 14° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM MDT. 4 reports from KDEN from 1:00 AM to 5:13 AM MDT, between 44°F and 48°F; the latest 44°F at 4:53 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 66° or above | 2¢ | |
| 64° to 65° | 6¢ | |
| 62° to 63° | 42¢ | favorite |
| 60° to 61° | 34¢ | |
| 58° to 59° | 14¢ | |
| 57° or below | 9¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 4:53 AM | 44°F |
| 3:53 AM | 44°F |
| 2:53 AM | 44°F |
| 1:53 AM | 48°F |
Which bracket will Denver settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 31 min ago· Readings 20 min ago
High so far today
48°F
hourly reading at 1:53 AM, 4 reports so far
Latest reading
44°F
taken 4:53 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
19 h 47 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or above | 2¢ | 1¢ | 1¢ | 212 × 1,222 | 427 |
| 64° to 65° | 6¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | 40 × 175 | 1,089 |
| 62° to 63°favorite | 43¢ | 41¢ | 43¢ | 3 × 101 | 2,368 |
| 60° to 61° | 35¢ | 33¢ | 33¢ | 80 × 300 | 2,563 |
| 58° to 59° | 15¢ | 13¢ | 13¢ | 36 × 43 | 2,361 |
| 57° or belowhigh so far 48° | 9¢ | 8¢ | 8¢ | 338 × 205 | 2,563 |
44°F
Favorite 41° to 42° at 62¢ · 2° to go, down
Low so far set at 4:53 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 19 h 47 min.
From KDEN's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Highest hourly reading so far at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF): 50°F at 12:58 AM.
Polymarket's highest-priced range is 62°–63° at 37¢.
Polymarket settles Denver on KBKF, not KDEN, and on the highest hourly reading, midnight to midnight local time.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KDEN) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4:53 AM | 44° | METAR KDEN 311053Z 30006KT 1/2SM R35L/P6000FT FG OVC001 07/06 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP117 T00670056 | ||
| 3:53 AM | 44° | METAR KDEN 310953Z 19007KT 10SM SCT120 BKN140 BKN180 07/06 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP118 T00670056 | ||
| 2:53 AM | 44° | METAR KDEN 310853Z 12006KT 10SM BKN180 BKN220 07/06 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP128 T00670056 56008 | ||
| 1:53 AM | 48° | METAR KDEN 310753Z 00000KT 10SM FEW180 BKN200 09/06 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP129 T00890061 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Download every official high at KDEN (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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