Kalshi goes by the thermometer at Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport (KSDF). Today's high counts from 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.
Newest official high: Fri, Oct 30, posted Oct 31, 4:21 AM EDT.
Louisville so far today: the high is 59°F (hourly reading, 2:56 AM), in the 69° or below bracket. The favorite is 72° to 73° at 39¢ (Kalshi, 30 minutes late), 13° above the high so far. Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT. 6 reports from KSDF from 1:00 AM to 7:14 AM EDT, between 54°F and 59°F; the latest 54°F at 6:56 AM.
| Bracket | Price | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 78° or above | 1¢ | |
| 76° to 77° | 4¢ | |
| 74° to 75° | 25¢ | |
| 72° to 73° | 39¢ | favorite |
| 70° to 71° | 22¢ | |
| 69° or below | 5¢ | high so far |
| Time | Reading |
|---|---|
| 6:56 AM | 54°F |
| 5:56 AM | 56°F |
| 4:56 AM | 58°F |
| 3:56 AM | 58°F |
| 2:56 AM | 59°F |
| 1:56 AM | 56°F |
Which bracket will Louisville settle on today? For fun: no money, no orders, nothing sent to Kalshi. The market's own favorite usually wins, and your record sits beside it. See this week's leaderboard
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Prices (30 min late) 32 min ago· Readings 18 min ago
High so far today
59°F
hourly reading at 2:56 AM, 6 reports so far
Latest reading
54°F
taken 6:56 AM, counts toward today
Trading closes in
17 h 46 min
usually settles around 6:12 AM (median of 60 days)
| Bracket | Price | Bid | Last | Waiting to trade (bid × ask) | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78° or above | 1¢ | — | 1¢ | — × 36 | 102 |
| 76° to 77° | 4¢ | 3¢ | 5¢ | 28 × 7 | 34 |
| 74° to 75° | 29¢ | 21¢ | 29¢ | 24 × 30 | 4 |
| 72° to 73°favorite | 46¢ | 32¢ | 46¢ | 3 × 39 | 83 |
| 70° to 71° | 23¢ | 21¢ | 23¢ | 25 × 21 | 173 |
| 69° or belowhigh so far 59° | 6¢ | 3¢ | 5¢ | 1,044 × 106 | 517 |
54°F
Favorite 54° to 55° at 75¢ · in it now
Low so far set at 6:56 AM. Same station and day as the high; closes in 17 h 46 min.
From KSDF's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about past days, not forecasts.
Live prices in all 24 cities (these are 30 minutes late), 12 weather models' forecasts for this station (KSDF) on the chart and in a table, whether today is running hotter or cooler than they expected, and how each model has done here.
Model record: in our test the market's prices were more accurate than the model (log loss 1.26 vs 1.48 a day ahead, 0.92 vs 1.25 on the day; lower is better).
Every report from the station today (a ), in exact whole °F. “6 h max” is the station's own highest reading over the past 6 hours, which can catch a peak between hourly reports.
| Time | Reading | 6 h max | 24 h max | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6:56 AM | 54° | METAR KSDF 311056Z 35003KT 10SM BKN250 12/05 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP262 T01220050 $ | ||
| 5:56 AM | 56° | METAR KSDF 310956Z 36004KT 10SM OVC250 13/04 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP258 T01330039 | ||
| 4:56 AM | 58° | METAR KSDF 310856Z 07004KT 10SM BKN250 14/03 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP257 T01440028 58002 | ||
| 3:56 AM | 58° | METAR KSDF 310756Z 05004KT 10SM BKN250 14/03 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP259 T01440033 | ||
| 2:56 AM | 59° | METAR KSDF 310656Z 05003KT 10SM SCT200 BKN250 15/03 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP259 T01500028 | ||
| 1:56 AM | 56° | 67° | METAR KSDF 310556Z 33004KT 10SM SCT200 BKN250 13/04 A3030 RMK AO2 SLP259 T01330039 10194 20133 58001 |
The official high isn't in yet. The final report goes out shortly after midnight standard time.
Not settled yet: Kalshi usually settles around 7 AM local the next morning.
Kalshi's series title for this market says "SATX", but the rules name CLISDF: Louisville's station (KSDF).
Download every official high at KSDF (CSV): the NWS climate report's daily high since Jan 1, 2025, with its time, the normal and the record. Free, no account.
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