How the Louisville high-temperature market settles

Kalshi's Louisville market settles on the daily high at Louisville International (KSDF), as the climate report CLISDF and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHTSDF, listed since Aug 28, 2026.

Updated Oct 31, 4:21 AM EDT: newest final official high is for Fri, Oct 30.

Today in Louisville

The settlement station

Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport

Station
KSDF
Report code
CLISDF
NWS office
LMK
Time zone
America/Kentucky/Louisville

Kalshi's series title for this market says "SATX", but the rules name CLISDF: Louisville's station (KSDF).

Source: Kalshi contract terms; NWS climate report CLISDF

Today's window (Sat, Oct 31)

1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT

Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 1:00 AM on Louisville's clock while daylight saving is on.

Opened
Oct 30, 10:00 AM EDT
Closes
Nov 1, 1:00 AM EDT
Usually settles
around 6:12 AM
median 6.2 h after close, 63 settled days

Today's six brackets, in whole degrees

  • 69° or below
  • 70° to 71°
  • 72° to 73°
  • 74° to 75°
  • 76° to 77°
  • 78° or above

The window for any city and date

How Louisville settled, day by day

Since Aug 28, 2026, 6 of 63 days (10%) settled on a tail bracket: 5 below the bottom bracket and 1 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 3 of 30.

DaySettled onWinning bracket
Thu, Oct 2978°77° to 78°
Wed, Oct 2878°77° to 78°
Tue, Oct 2777°76° to 77°
Mon, Oct 2676°76° to 77°
Sun, Oct 2577°76° to 77°
Sat, Oct 2473°72° to 73°
Fri, Oct 2373°72° to 73°
Thu, Oct 2274°74° to 75°
Wed, Oct 2175°74° to 75°
Tue, Oct 2074°74° to 75°
Mon, Oct 1971°70° to 71°
Sun, Oct 1869°69° to 70°
Sat, Oct 1758°57° to 58°
Fri, Oct 1677°76° to 77°
Thu, Oct 1584°83° to 84°
Wed, Oct 1484°84° to 85°
Tue, Oct 1390°90° to 91°
Mon, Oct 1286°86° to 87°
Sun, Oct 1167°69° or belowbottom tail
Sat, Oct 1069°70° or belowbottom tail
Fri, Oct 985°85° to 86°
Thu, Oct 884°84° to 85°
Wed, Oct 783°83° to 84°
Tue, Oct 676°75° to 76°
Mon, Oct 575°75° to 76°
Sun, Oct 479°79° to 80°
Sat, Oct 377°77° or abovetop tail
Fri, Oct 279°79° to 80°
Thu, Oct 192°91° to 92°
Wed, Sep 3088°88° to 89°

Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KSDF, via IEM

When the high happens at Louisville International

Over 364 days (Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026), the median time of the official high was 4:10 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 3:00 PM and 5:01 PM. Over the last 59 days the median was 3:55 PM.

Louisville International's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 16 of 364 days (4%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.

  • Midnight to 1 AM4%
  • 1 to 6 AM4%
  • 6 AM to noon2%
  • Noon to 3 PM14%
  • 3 to 6 PM66%
  • 6 PM to midnight9%

KSDF report times, standard time. 1 without a time (MM) left out.

Source: NWS climate reports for KSDF, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports

Did the afternoon report's high hold?

On 182 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 4:25 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 108 of 182 days (59%). The final report came in higher on 74 and never lower.

70 of those 74 higher finals put the high after the 4:25 PM cutoff.

Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KSDF (CLISDF), via IEM's text archive

Records and normals at Louisville International

The normal high for Oct 31 is 64°F and the record high is 84°F. The normal falls to 52°F by Nov 30.

Against the normal
+1.4°F on average
above on 191, below on 151 of 365 days
Warmest and coolest
100° and 14°
100° on Sep 4, 2026; 14° on Jan 26, 2026
Record highs set or tied
10 days
Oct 13 90°, Sep 19 96°, Sep 17 97°, …

365 final highs at KSDF, Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.

Source: NWS climate reports for KSDF, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals

Stations nearby

Climate-report stations near Louisville International, and how their official highs ran against it. None settles the Louisville market.

  • Bowman Field KLOU · 9 km−0.8°F on average; the same whole degree on 103 of 365 days, 2°F or more apart on 53.

Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): Jeffersonville/Clark Rgnl (KJVY, 22 km).

Straight-line distances from KSDF; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.

Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information

Questions about Louisville

Which station settles Kalshi's Louisville high-temperature market?

Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport (KSDF), the station named by the climate-report code CLISDF in the market's rules. Kalshi's series title for this market says "SATX", but the rules name CLISDF: Louisville's station (KSDF).

What hours count toward Louisville's daily high?

Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.

When does the Louisville market close and settle?

Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT after the day ends. Over the last 63 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.

What are Louisville's brackets for Sat, Oct 31?

69° or below, 70° to 71°, 72° to 73°, 74° to 75°, 76° to 77°, 78° or above, compared with Louisville International's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.

How often does Louisville settle on a tail bracket?

On 6 of 63 settled days from Aug 28, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 (10%): 5 on the bottom tail and 1 on the top tail.

When does Louisville's daily high usually happen?

Over 364 days to Oct 30, 2026, the median time of the official high at KSDF was 4:10 PM local standard time. On 16 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.

How often does the afternoon climate report's high change by the final report in Louisville?

From May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 108 of 182 days. The final was higher on 74 and lower on 0.

The rules every city shares · Reading CLISDF · The Aug 14, 2026 change

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