Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 20, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 21, 11:40 AM EDT.

  • 24 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 69°F (+13°).
  • Coolest against normal: San Francisco, 68°F (−4°).
  • 21 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Los Angeles 7 days, San Diego 7 days, Denver 4 days, Minneapolis 4 days.
  • On a run below normal: New Orleans 4 days, San Francisco 3 days.
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 21 of 24 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM9 days ago, fetched Oct 21, 11:40 AM EDTKalshi settlements9 days ago, settled Oct 21, 10:12 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL76°+3°normal 73°76° to 77°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS84°+3°normal 81°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS62°+1°normal 61°61° to 62°✓ favorite came in
ChicagoMidway · KMDW69°+7°normal 62°69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (57¢)
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW80°+3°normal 77°79° to 80°✓ favorite came in
DenverDenver International · KDEN73°+10°normal 63°72° to 73°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU83°+2°normal 81°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS82°+3°normal 79°81° to 82°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX82°+8°normal 74°75° or above✓ favorite came in
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF74°+5°normal 69°74° to 75°✓ favorite came in
MiamiMiami International · KMIA85°0°normal 85°85° to 86°✓ favorite came in
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP69°+13°normal 56°69° to 70°✓ favorite came in
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY78°−1°normal 79°77° to 78°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC67°+4°normal 63°67° to 68°✓ favorite came in
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR70°+6°normal 64°69° to 70°✓ favorite came in
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC76°+5°normal 71°76° to 77°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (55¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL71°+5°normal 66°70° to 71°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX93°+5°normal 88°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT83°+2°normal 81°83° to 84°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN77°+3°normal 74°76° to 77°✓ favorite came in
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO68°−4°normal 72°68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (47¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA62°+3°normal 59°61° to 62°✓ favorite came in
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN69°+5°normal 64°68° to 69°✓ favorite came in
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA72°+4°normal 68°71° to 72°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Tue, Oct 20

Every settled day

Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.

Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta74-75°FKATLcame out apart
Austin82-83°FKAUScame out apart
Chicago68-69°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas78-79°FKDALcame out apart
Denver70-71°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston82-83°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles80-81°FKLAXcame out apart
Miami84-85°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City68-69°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco66-67°FKSFOcame out apart
Seattle62-63°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high