Daily results

How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Mon, Aug 24, 2026

Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.

Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.

  • 21 of 24 cities settled.
  • Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 108°F (+17°).
  • Coolest against normal: Louisville, 82°F (−6°).
  • 16 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.

Streaks and records

  • On a run above normal: Dallas 22 days, Oklahoma City 22 days, Atlanta 17 days, Miami 17 days.
  • On a run below normal: Philadelphia 5 days, Trenton 5 days, New York City 4 days, Newark 4 days.
  • Within 3° of the record for the date: Dallas 109° (record 107°), Oklahoma City 108° (record 108°), Los Angeles 84° (record 85°), San Antonio 102° (record 103°), San Diego 83° (record 85°).
  • The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 21 cities with prices stored.

From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.

All 24 cities

NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements66 days ago, settled Aug 25, 10:53 AM EDT
CityOfficial highvs normalWinning bracket
AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL92°+4°normal 88°92° to 93°✓ favorite came in
AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS104°+8°normal 96°104° to 105°✓ favorite came in
BostonLogan · KBOS85°+6°normal 79°85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (53¢)
ChicagoMidway · KMDW79°−3°normal 82°79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (47¢)
DallasDFW Airport · KDFW109°+14°normal 95°108° to 109°Upset: favorite was 106° to 107° (42¢)
DenverDenver International · KDEN91°+5°normal 86°91° to 92°✓ favorite came in
HoustonHobby · KHOU99°+6°normal 93°99° to 100°✓ favorite came in
Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS108°+6°normal 102°107° to 108°✓ favorite came in
Los AngelesLAX · KLAX84°+7°normal 77°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (44¢)
LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF82°−6°normal 88°not settled yet
MiamiMiami International · KMIA91°+1°normal 90°90° to 91°Upset: favorite was 92° to 93° (68¢)
MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP85°+5°normal 80°84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (50¢)
New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY95°+4°normal 91°95° to 96°✓ favorite came in
New York CityCentral Park · KNYC79°−4°normal 83°78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (51¢)
NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR82°−2°normal 84°not settled yet
Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC108°+17°normal 91°108° to 109°Upset: favorite was 103° or below (42¢)
PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL83°−2°normal 85°82° to 83°✓ favorite came in
PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX108°+3°normal 105°108° to 109°✓ favorite came in
San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT102°+7°normal 95°101° to 102°✓ favorite came in
San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN83°+5°normal 78°82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (52¢)
San FranciscoSFO · KSFO73°−1°normal 74°73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (32¢)
SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA81°+4°normal 77°81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (38¢)
TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN79°−4°normal 83°not settled yet
Washington DCReagan National · KDCA85°−2°normal 87°85° to 86°✓ favorite came in

Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026

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Share card: How Kalshi's 24 weather cities settled on Mon, Aug 24

Every settled day

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Polymarket, the same day

How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.

US cities
CityPolymarket's rangeStationBeside Kalshi
Atlanta90-91°FKATLcame out apart
Austin104-105°FKAUSholds Kalshi's high
Chicago78-79°FKORDholds Kalshi's high
Dallas106-107°FKDALcame out apart
Denver92-93°FKBKFcame out apart
Houston98-99°FKHOUholds Kalshi's high
Los Angeles82-83°FKLAXcame out apart
Miami90-91°FKMIAholds Kalshi's high
New York City80-81°FKLGAcame out apart
San Francisco70-71°FKSFOcame out apart
Seattle80-81°FKSEAholds Kalshi's high