Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 101°F (+17°).
- Coolest against normal: Denver, 71°F (−9°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 44 days, Austin 32 days, Phoenix 11 days, San Antonio 11 days.
- On a run below normal: Seattle 6 days, Minneapolis 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Austin 102° (record 99°), San Antonio 101° (record 98°), Dallas 101° (record 100°), Oklahoma City 101° (record 100°), Houston 96° (record 97°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 12 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements44 days ago, settled Sep 16, 10:11 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 90° | 4:06 PM | +6°normal 84° | 89° to 90°Upset: favorite was 91° to 92° (43¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 102° | 4:17 PM | +11°normal 91° | 102° to 103°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 66° | 11:59 AM | −8°normal 74° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 85° | 2:56 PM | +8°normal 77° | 84° to 85°Upset: favorite was 82° to 83° (33¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 101° | 3:58 PM | +12°normal 89° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 71° | 4:37 PM | −9°normal 80° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 74° to 75° (36¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 1:44 PM | +6°normal 90° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 98° | 2:59 PM | +3°normal 95° | 98° to 99°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 81° | 12:51 PM | +4°normal 77° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (51¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 96° | 3:44 PM | +13°normal 83° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:14 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 93° | 12:58 PM | +4°normal 89° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 90° to 91° (57¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 72° | 4:29 PM | −2°normal 74° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 93° | 2:04 PM | +5°normal 88° | 92° to 93°Upset: favorite was 94° to 95° (52¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 72° | 2:29 PM | −5°normal 77° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 74° | 1:19 PM | −4°normal 78° | 74° to 75°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 101° | 4:07 PM | +17°normal 84° | 101° to 102°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 79° | 3:04 PM | 0°normal 79° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 77° to 78° (62¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 102° | 4:00 PM | +1°normal 101° | 101° to 102°Upset: favorite was 99° to 100° (38¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 101° | 3:24 PM | +11°normal 90° | 100° to 101°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 76° | 3:00 PM | −1°normal 77° | 76° to 77°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 73° | 12:22 PM | −2°normal 75° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (41¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 68° | 3:28 PM | −4°normal 72° | 67° to 68°Upset: favorite was 65° to 66° (47¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 74° | 4:19 PM | −4°normal 78° | 73° to 74°Upset: favorite was 75° to 76° (48¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 78° | 4:06 PM | −3°normal 81° | 78° or belowUpset: favorite was 79° to 80° (66¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
- Tue, Oct 20
- Mon, Oct 19
- Sun, Oct 18
- Sat, Oct 17
- Fri, Oct 16
- Thu, Oct 15
- Wed, Oct 14
- Tue, Oct 13
- Mon, Oct 12
- Sun, Oct 11
- Sat, Oct 10
- Fri, Oct 9
- Thu, Oct 8
- Wed, Oct 7
- Tue, Oct 6
- Mon, Oct 5
- Sun, Oct 4
- Sat, Oct 3
- Fri, Oct 2
- Thu, Oct 1
- Wed, Sep 30
- Tue, Sep 29
- Mon, Sep 28
- Sun, Sep 27
- Sat, Sep 26
- Fri, Sep 25
- Thu, Sep 24
- Wed, Sep 23
- Tue, Sep 22
- Mon, Sep 21
- Sun, Sep 20
- Sat, Sep 19
- Fri, Sep 18
- Thu, Sep 17
- Wed, Sep 16
- Tue, Sep 15
- Mon, Sep 14
- Sun, Sep 13
- Sat, Sep 12
- Fri, Sep 11
- Thu, Sep 10
- Wed, Sep 9
- Tue, Sep 8
- Mon, Sep 7
- Sun, Sep 6
- Sat, Sep 5
- Fri, Sep 4
- Thu, Sep 3
- Wed, Sep 2
- Tue, Sep 1
- Mon, Aug 31
- Sun, Aug 30
- Sat, Aug 29
- Fri, Aug 28
- Thu, Aug 27
- Wed, Aug 26
- Tue, Aug 25
- Mon, Aug 24
- Sun, Aug 23
- Sat, Aug 22
- Fri, Aug 21
- Thu, Aug 20
- Wed, Aug 19
- Tue, Aug 18
- Mon, Aug 17
- Sun, Aug 16
- Sat, Aug 15
- Fri, Aug 14
Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 90-91°F | KATL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Austin | 102-103°F | KAUS | holds Kalshi's high |
| Chicago | 84-85°F | KORD | holds Kalshi's high |
| Dallas | 98-99°F | KDAL | came out apart |
| Denver | 72-73°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 80-81°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 92-93°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 72-73°F | KLGA | holds Kalshi's high |
| San Francisco | 72-73°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | came out apart |
World cities
- Amsterdam25°C
- Ankara25°C
- Beijing28°C
- Buenos Aires19°C
- Busan29°C
- Cape Town18°C
- Chengdu21°C
- Chongqing21°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki17°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul23°C
- Jeddah40°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi34°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London23°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid36°C
- Manila31°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan27°C
- Moscow18°C
- Munich24°C
- Panama City28°C
- Paris33°C
- Qingdao31°C
- Sao Paulo20°C
- Seoul24°C
- Shanghai28°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv34°C
- Tokyo28°C
- Toronto23°C
- Warsaw20°C
- Wellington15°C
- Wuhan29°C
- Zhengzhou32°C or higher