Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Wed, Sep 23, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDT.
- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Oklahoma City, 93°F (+12°).
- Coolest against normal: Washington DC, 66°F (−12°).
- 10 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Dallas 52 days, Austin 40 days, Los Angeles 17 days, Oklahoma City 13 days.
- On a run below normal: Chicago 6 days, Minneapolis 6 days, Seattle 6 days, Boston 5 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Houston 96° (record 97°), New Orleans 92° (record 94°), San Antonio 97° (record 99°), Dallas 98° (record 101°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 11 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM10 days ago, fetched Oct 20, 11:51 PM EDTKalshi settlements36 days ago, settled Sep 24, 10:21 AM EDT| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 82° | 2:16 PM | 0°normal 82° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 79° or below (59¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 97° | 12:23 PM | +8°normal 89° | 96° to 97°Upset: favorite was 98° to 99° (53¢)settled 7:18 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 64° | 1:05 PM | −7°normal 71° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (56¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 65° | 8:40 PM | −9°normal 74° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 98° | 3:36 PM | +11°normal 87° | 98° to 99°Upset: favorite was 96° to 97° (57¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 72° | 3:55 PM | −5°normal 77° | 75° or belowUpset: favorite was 78° to 79° (34¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 96° | 1:06 PM | +8°normal 88° | 95° to 96°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 93° | 3:00 PM | +1°normal 92° | 93° to 94°✓ favorite came insettled 7:12 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 78° | 12:47 PM | +2°normal 76° | 78° to 79°Upset: favorite was 80° to 81° (51¢)settled 7:21 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 69° | 4:46 PM | −11°normal 80° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 71° to 72° (52¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 83° | 4:23 PM | −6°normal 89° | 82° to 83°Upset: favorite was 86° to 87° (36¢)settled 7:19 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 69° | 4:02 PM | −1°normal 70° | 68° to 69°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 92° | 4:36 PM | +5°normal 87° | 91° to 92°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 67° | 3:42 PM | −7°normal 74° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:19 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 69° | 4:19 PM | −6°normal 75° | 69° to 70°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 93° | 3:28 PM | +12°normal 81° | 93° to 94°Upset: favorite was 89° to 90° (47¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 70° | 3:31 PM | −6°normal 76° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (55¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 99° | 3:19 PM | +1°normal 98° | 99° to 100°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 97° | 4:23 PM | +9°normal 88° | 96° to 97°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 77° | 2:42 PM | 0°normal 77° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (53¢)settled 7:14 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 78° | 3:53 PM | +3°normal 75° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 79° to 80° (26¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 67° | 4:21 PM | −2°normal 69° | 67° to 68°✓ favorite came insettled 7:13 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 69° | 1:23 PM | −6°normal 75° | 68° to 69°Upset: favorite was 66° to 67° (47¢)settled 7:13 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 66° | 5:41 PM | −12°normal 78° | 66° to 67°✓ favorite came insettled 7:20 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
Every settled day
- Thu, Oct 29
- Wed, Oct 28
- Tue, Oct 27
- Mon, Oct 26
- Sun, Oct 25
- Sat, Oct 24
- Fri, Oct 23
- Thu, Oct 22
- Wed, Oct 21
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- Wed, Sep 30
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- Mon, Aug 31
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Almanac shows information and tools. It never says what to buy or sell and never places an order.
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 80-81°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 94-95°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 68-69°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 98-99°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 74-75°F | KBKF | came out apart |
| Houston | 94-95°F | KHOU | came out apart |
| Los Angeles | 76-77°F | KLAX | came out apart |
| Miami | 82-83°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 70-71°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 76-77°F | KSFO | came out apart |
| Seattle | 66-67°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam20°C
- Ankara19°C
- Beijing31°C
- Buenos Aires20°C
- Busan28°C
- Cape Town20°C
- Chengdu28°C
- Chongqing26°C
- Guangzhou35°C
- Helsinki11°C
- Hong Kong31°C
- Istanbul17°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Jinan26°C or higher
- Karachi36°C
- Kuala Lumpur31°C
- London23°C
- Lucknow33°C
- Madrid34°C
- Manila32°C
- Mexico City25°C
- Milan24°C
- Moscow18°C
- Munich19°C
- Panama City33°C
- Paris27°C
- Qingdao30°C
- Sao Paulo16°C
- Seoul27°C
- Shanghai29°C
- Shenzhen31°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv30°C
- Tokyo24°C
- Toronto18°C
- Warsaw15°C
- Wellington11°C
- Wuhan25°C
- Zhengzhou30°C