Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sun, Nov 1, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Nov 2, 10:11 AM EST.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 24 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 71°F (+21°).
- Coolest against normal: Phoenix, 72°F (−11°).
- 13 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Louisville 14 days, Dallas 13 days, New Orleans 7 days, Minneapolis 6 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 7 days, Seattle 5 days, Los Angeles 4 days, Las Vegas 3 days.
- Within 3° of the record for the date: Houston 87° (record 90°).
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 10 of 24 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM32 h ago, fetched Nov 2, 7:21 AM ESTKalshi settlements29 h ago, settled Nov 2, 10:11 AM EST| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 64° | 1:13 PM | −5°normal 69° | 64° to 65°Upset: favorite was 63° or below (86¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 86° | 1:33 PM | +9°normal 77° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 59° | 3:26 PM | +2°normal 57° | 58° to 59°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 62° | 1:33 PM | +6°normal 56° | 63° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 79° | 3:04 PM | +7°normal 72° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (55¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 67° | 12:55 PM | +8°normal 59° | 66° or aboveUpset: favorite was 62° to 63° (40¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 87° | 2:39 PM | +10°normal 77° | 87° to 88°Upset: favorite was 85° to 86° (48¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 65° | 1:55 PM | −9°normal 74° | 66° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 71° | 1:10 PM | −3°normal 74° | 71° or above✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 70° | 11:57 AM | +6°normal 64° | 69° to 70°Upset: favorite was 67° to 68° (53¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 82° | 9:07 AM | −1°normal 83° | 81° to 82°Upset: favorite was 83° to 84° (42¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 71° | 3:14 PM | +21°normal 50° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 68° to 69° (47¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 79° | 1:51 PM | +4°normal 75° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (50¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 59° | 2:30 PM | 0°normal 59° | 59° or belowUpset: favorite was 60° to 61° (51¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 62° | 2:08 PM | +2°normal 60° | 61° to 62°Upset: favorite was 63° to 64° (48¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 73° | 2:02 PM | +6°normal 67° | 72° to 73°Upset: favorite was 71° or below (55¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 60° | 4:07 PM | −1°normal 61° | 61° or belowUpset: favorite was 62° to 63° (65¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 72° | 6:01 PM | −11°normal 83° | 72° to 73°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 83° | 3:27 PM | +6°normal 77° | 82° to 83°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 72° | 1:45 PM | −1°normal 73° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 3:13 PM | −4°normal 69° | 64° to 65°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 48° | 4:12 PM | −7°normal 55° | 51° or belowUpset: favorite was 52° to 53° (44¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 60° | 3:14 PM | 0°normal 60° | 60° to 61°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (50¢)settled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 66° | 2:48 PM | +2°normal 64° | 65° to 66°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 62-63°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 84-85°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 64-65°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 78-79°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 66-67°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 86-87°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 70-71°F | KLAX | holds Kalshi's high |
| Miami | 80-81°F | KMIA | came out apart |
| New York City | 60-61°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | holds Kalshi's high |
| Seattle | 48-49°F | KSEA | holds Kalshi's high |
World cities
- Amsterdam12°C
- Ankara17°C
- Beijing18°C
- Buenos Aires22°C
- Busan15°C
- Cape Town21°C
- Chengdu20°C
- Chongqing18°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki9°C
- Hong Kong29°C
- Istanbul17°C
- Jeddah35°C
- Karachi35°C
- Kuala Lumpur34°C
- London11°C
- Lucknow27°C
- Madrid21°C
- Manila33°C
- Mexico City24°C
- Milan14°C
- Moscow10°C
- Munich8°C
- Panama City31°C
- Paris13°C
- Qingdao15°C
- Sao Paulo29°C
- Seoul11°C
- Shanghai26°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore32°C
- Tel Aviv27°C
- Tokyo20°C
- Toronto18°C or higher
- Warsaw9°C
- Wellington16°C
- Wuhan23°C
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The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
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