Daily results
How Kalshi's weather cities settled on Sat, Oct 31, 2026
Every city's official high, the bracket that won, and whether the market's favorite came in. Each city's day runs midnight to midnight local standard time. On the rare day the weather service and Kalshi's source differ, the row says so.
Updated Nov 1, 9:08 AM EST.
Almanac shows the thermometer each Kalshi and Polymarket weather market goes by, live next to every price, and how every city settled.
Create a free account- 19 of 24 cities settled.
- Warmest against normal: Minneapolis, 59°F (+9°).
- Coolest against normal: Las Vegas, 69°F (−6°).
- 11 of 24 cities ran above their normal high.
Streaks and records
- On a run above normal: Louisville 13 days, Dallas 12 days, New Orleans 6 days, Atlanta 5 days.
- On a run below normal: San Francisco 6 days, Seattle 4 days, Los Angeles 3 days.
- The market's favorite at the start of the day settled in 13 of 19 cities with prices stored.
From each station's NWS climate reports (via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet) and Kalshi's settlements and stored prices. Facts about this day, not forecasts.
All 24 cities
NWS climate reports via IEM3 h ago, fetched Nov 1, 7:21 AM ESTKalshi settlements1 h ago, settled Nov 1, 9:08 AM EST| City | Official high | Time (LST) | vs normal | Winning bracket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlantaHartsfield-Jackson · KATL | 72° | 2:00 PM | +3°normal 69° | 71° to 72°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| AustinAustin-Bergstrom · KAUS | 80° | 4:03 PM | +3°normal 77° | 79° to 80°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| BostonLogan · KBOS | 55° | 2:56 PM | −2°normal 57° | 54° to 55°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| ChicagoMidway · KMDW | 63° | 2:53 PM | +7°normal 56° | 62° to 63°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| DallasDFW Airport · KDFW | 77° | 3:13 PM | +5°normal 72° | 77° to 78°Upset: favorite was 72° or below (54¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| DenverDenver International · KDEN | 58° | 3:59 PM | −1°normal 59° | 58° to 59°Upset: favorite was 62° to 63° (40¢)settled 7:08 AM local |
| HoustonHobby · KHOU | 85° | 3:53 PM | +8°normal 77° | 85° to 86°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (41¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| Las VegasHarry Reid International · KLAS | 69° | 3:43 PM | −6°normal 75° | not settled yet |
| Los AngelesLAX · KLAX | 72° | 12:47 PM | −2°normal 74° | not settled yet |
| LouisvilleLouisville International · KSDF | 70° | 5:21 PM | +6°normal 64° | 70° to 71°Upset: favorite was 72° to 73° (45¢)settled 7:12 AM local |
| MiamiMiami International · KMIA | 85° | 3:26 PM | +1°normal 84° | 85° to 86°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul International · KMSP | 59° | 5:52 PM | +9°normal 50° | 58° to 59°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| New OrleansLouis Armstrong International · KMSY | 79° | 1:53 PM | +3°normal 76° | 79° to 80°Upset: favorite was 81° to 82° (48¢)settled 7:09 AM local |
| New York CityCentral Park · KNYC | 58° | 4:51 PM | −1°normal 59° | 58° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| NewarkNewark Liberty · KEWR | 61° | 3:59 PM | 0°normal 61° | 60° to 61°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Oklahoma CityWill Rogers · KOKC | 64° | 12:11 AM | −3°normal 67° | 66° or below✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
| PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia International · KPHL | 61° | 4:28 PM | −1°normal 62° | 61° to 62°✓ favorite came insettled 7:09 AM local |
| PhoenixSky Harbor · KPHX | 79° | 2:32 PM | −4°normal 83° | 78° to 79°✓ favorite came insettled 7:08 AM local |
| San AntonioSan Antonio International · KSAT | 80° | 4:18 PM | +3°normal 77° | 80° to 81°Upset: favorite was 77° or below (58¢)settled 7:10 AM local |
| San DiegoSan Diego International · KSAN | 74° | 12:09 PM | +1°normal 73° | not settled yet |
| San FranciscoSFO · KSFO | 65° | 11:56 AM | −4°normal 69° | not settled yet |
| SeattleSea-Tac · KSEA | 54° | 2:33 PM | −2°normal 56° | not settled yet |
| TrentonTrenton-Mercer · KTTN | 59° | 3:54 PM | −1°normal 60° | 59° to 60°✓ favorite came insettled 7:11 AM local |
| Washington DCReagan National · KDCA | 64° | 2:49 PM | 0°normal 64° | 63° to 64°✓ favorite came insettled 7:10 AM local |
Source: NWS Daily Climate Reports, via the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; Kalshi settlements (public market data); The Weather Company, the settlement source since Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket, the same day
How Polymarket's daily temperature markets settled: its own stations, its own reading (the highest hourly report), so a city can come out apart from Kalshi.
| City | Polymarket's range | Station | Beside Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 70-71°F | KATL | came out apart |
| Austin | 78-79°F | KAUS | came out apart |
| Chicago | 60-61°F | KORD | came out apart |
| Dallas | 76-77°F | KDAL | holds Kalshi's high |
| Denver | 58-59°F | KBKF | holds Kalshi's high |
| Houston | 84-85°F | KHOU | holds Kalshi's high |
| Los Angeles | 70-71°F | KLAX | — |
| Miami | 84-85°F | KMIA | holds Kalshi's high |
| New York City | 60-61°F | KLGA | came out apart |
| San Francisco | 64-65°F | KSFO | — |
| Seattle | 54-55°F | KSEA | — |
World cities
- Amsterdam9°C
- Ankara15°C
- Beijing12°C
- Buenos Aires26°C
- Busan21°C
- Cape Town24°C
- Chengdu22°C
- Chongqing18°C
- Guangzhou33°C
- Helsinki8°C
- Istanbul15°C
- Jeddah36°C
- Karachi36°C
- Kuala Lumpur33°C
- London15°C
- Lucknow24°C
- Madrid22°C
- Manila34°C
- Mexico City26°C
- Milan17°C
- Moscow10°C
- Munich9°C
- Panama City32°C
- Paris15°C
- Qingdao19°C
- Sao Paulo28°C
- Seoul17°C
- Shanghai23°C
- Shenzhen30°C
- Singapore33°C
- Tel Aviv27°C
- Tokyo23°C
- Toronto15°C
- Warsaw10°C
- Wellington13°C
- Wuhan25°C
Share this day
The card shows the day's official highs. No prices, no picks.
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