How the Washington DC high-temperature market settles

Kalshi's Washington DC market settles on the daily high at Reagan National (KDCA), not Dulles, as the climate report CLIDCA and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHTDC, listed since Jan 14, 2026.

Updated Oct 31, 4:20 AM EDT: newest final official high is for Fri, Oct 30.

Today in Washington DC

The settlement station

Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport

Not Dulles.

Station
KDCA
Report code
CLIDCA
NWS office
LWX
Time zone
America/New York

Source: Kalshi contract terms; NWS climate report CLIDCA

Today's window (Sat, Oct 31)

1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT

Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 1:00 AM on Washington DC's clock while daylight saving is on.

Opened
Oct 30, 10:00 AM EDT
Closes
Nov 1, 1:00 AM EDT
Usually settles
around 6:12 AM
median 6.2 h after close, 77 settled days

Today's six brackets, in whole degrees

  • 60° or below
  • 61° to 62°
  • 63° to 64°
  • 65° to 66°
  • 67° to 68°
  • 69° or above

The window for any city and date

How Washington DC settled, day by day

Since Aug 14, 2026, 9 of 77 days (12%) settled on a tail bracket: 8 below the bottom bracket and 1 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 2 of 30.

DaySettled onWinning bracket
Thu, Oct 2971°70° to 71°
Wed, Oct 2869°68° to 69°
Tue, Oct 2772°72° to 73°
Mon, Oct 2672°72° to 73°
Sun, Oct 2566°66° to 67°
Sat, Oct 2464°64° to 65°
Fri, Oct 2364°64° to 65°
Thu, Oct 2270°69° to 70°
Wed, Oct 2168°68° to 69°
Tue, Oct 2072°71° to 72°
Mon, Oct 1969°68° to 69°
Sun, Oct 1862°61° to 62°
Sat, Oct 1762°62° to 63°
Fri, Oct 1680°80° to 81°
Thu, Oct 1577°77° to 78°
Wed, Oct 1490°89° to 90°
Tue, Oct 1382°82° to 83°
Mon, Oct 1276°76° to 77°
Sun, Oct 1167°67° or belowbottom tail
Sat, Oct 1072°72° to 73°
Fri, Oct 977°76° to 77°
Thu, Oct 881°80° to 81°
Wed, Oct 772°72° to 73°
Tue, Oct 666°66° to 67°
Mon, Oct 574°73° to 74°
Sun, Oct 465°65° to 66°
Sat, Oct 367°68° or belowbottom tail
Fri, Oct 286°85° to 86°
Thu, Oct 183°82° to 83°
Wed, Sep 3080°79° to 80°

Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KDCA, via IEM

When the high happens at Reagan National

Over 359 days (Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026), the median time of the official high was 3:28 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 2:22 PM and 4:16 PM. Over the last 60 days the median was 3:13 PM.

Reagan National's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 12 of 359 days (3%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.

  • Midnight to 1 AM3%
  • 1 to 6 AM4%
  • 6 AM to noon3%
  • Noon to 3 PM26%
  • 3 to 6 PM56%
  • 6 PM to midnight7%

KDCA report times, standard time. 1 without a time (MM) left out.

Source: NWS climate reports for KDCA, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports

Not Dulles

Kalshi's Washington DC market settles on Reagan National (KDCA) and nothing else. Dulles International Airport (KIAD) publishes its own climate report, with its own daily high, which doesn't count.

Dulles International Airport (KIAD) against Reagan National, 34 km apart

Over 360 days (Oct 21, 2025 to Oct 20, 2026), the two official highs were the same whole degree on 71 of 360 days (20%). Dulles was warmer on 70 and cooler on 219, −0.8°F on average, and 2°F or more apart (a bracket's width) on 163.

Widest gaps: Mar 22, 2026, KIAD 86° and KDCA 78°; Jan 25, 2026, KIAD 18° and KDCA 29°.

Source: NWS climate reports for KIAD (CLIIAD), via IEM; NWS climate reports for KDCA, via IEM

Did the afternoon report's high hold?

On 183 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 5 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 172 of 183 days (94%). The final report came in higher on 11 and never lower.

10 of those 11 higher finals put the high after the 5 PM cutoff.

Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KDCA (CLIDCA), via IEM's text archive

Records and normals at Reagan National

The normal high for Oct 31 is 64°F and the record high is 85°F. The normal falls to 53°F by Nov 30.

Against the normal
+0.5°F on average
above on 172, below on 164 of 360 days
Warmest and coolest
103° and 21°
103° on Jul 4, 2026; 21° on Jan 30, 2026
Record highs set or tied
11 days
Oct 14 90°, Jul 4 103°, Jul 3 102°, …

360 final highs at KDCA, Oct 31, 2025 to Oct 30, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.

Source: NWS climate reports for KDCA, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals

Stations nearby

Climate-report stations near Reagan National, and how their official highs ran against it. None settles the Washington DC market.

  • Baltimore/Washington International Airport KBWI · 48 km−1.5°F on average; the same whole degree on 61 of 360 days, 2°F or more apart on 184.
  • Annapolis Md KNAK · 50 km−3.3°F on average; the same whole degree on 28 of 360 days, 2°F or more apart on 277.

Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): Andrews AFB (KADW, 15 km), College Park Arpt (KCGS, 18 km), Fort Belvoir/Davison (KDAA, 20 km).

Straight-line distances from KDCA; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.

Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information

Questions about Washington DC

Which station settles Kalshi's Washington DC high-temperature market?

Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (KDCA), the station named by the climate-report code CLIDCA in the market's rules. Not Dulles.

What hours count toward Washington DC's daily high?

Midnight to midnight EST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 EDT.

When does the Washington DC market close and settle?

Trading closes at 1:00 AM EDT after the day ends. Over the last 77 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.

What are Washington DC's brackets for Sat, Oct 31?

60° or below, 61° to 62°, 63° to 64°, 65° to 66°, 67° to 68°, 69° or above, compared with Reagan National's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.

How often does Washington DC settle on a tail bracket?

On 9 of 77 settled days from Aug 14, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 (12%): 8 on the bottom tail and 1 on the top tail.

When does Washington DC's daily high usually happen?

Over 359 days to Oct 30, 2026, the median time of the official high at KDCA was 3:28 PM local standard time. On 12 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.

How often does the afternoon climate report's high change by the final report in Washington DC?

From May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 172 of 183 days. The final was higher on 11 and lower on 0.

Does Dulles International Airport's temperature count for Kalshi's Washington DC market?

No. Only Reagan National (KDCA) does. Over 360 days to Oct 20, 2026, KIAD's official high was the same whole degree as KDCA's on 71 days and 2°F or more apart on 163.

The rules every city shares · Reading CLIDCA · The Aug 14, 2026 change

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