Kalshi's Dallas market settles on the daily high at DFW Airport (KDFW), not Love Field, as the climate report CLIDFW and The Weather Company publish it. Series KXHIGHTDAL, listed since Feb 11, 2026.
Updated Oct 30, 5:21 AM CDT: newest final official high is for Thu, Oct 29.
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport
Not Love Field.
1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT
Midnight to midnight CST, local standard time: 1:00 AM to 1:00 AM on Dallas's clock while daylight saving is on.
Today's six brackets, in whole degrees
Since Aug 14, 2026, 10 of 77 days (13%) settled on a tail bracket: 8 below the bottom bracket and 2 above the top one. In the last 30 days: 4 of 30.
| Day | Settled on | Winning bracket | Time of high (LST) | Settled at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29 | 79° | 80° or belowbottom tail | 12:31 PM | Oct 30, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 28 | 83° | 82° to 83° | 3:53 PM | Oct 29, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 27 | 83° | 82° to 83° | 3:55 PM | Oct 28, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 26 | 81° | 80° to 81° | 2:22 PM | Oct 27, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 25 | 82° | 81° to 82° | 1:43 PM | Oct 26, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 24 | 84° | 84° to 85° | 3:37 PM | Oct 25, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 23 | 85° | 84° to 85° | 3:23 PM | Oct 24, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 22 | 83° | 83° to 84° | 3:21 PM | Oct 23, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 21 | 81° | 81° to 82° | 4:19 PM | Oct 22, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 20 | 80° | 79° to 80° | 3:22 PM | Oct 21, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 19 | 77° | 77° to 78° | 3:47 PM | Oct 20, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 71° | 71° to 72° | 3:40 PM | Oct 19, 7:14 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 66° | 65° to 66° | 3:56 PM | Oct 18, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 66° | 67° or belowbottom tail | 3:07 PM | Oct 17, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 90° | 90° to 91° | 3:12 PM | Oct 16, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 93° | 92° to 93° | 3:51 PM | Oct 15, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 95° | 95° to 96° | 3:18 PM | Oct 14, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 12 | 90° | 90° to 91° | 1:46 PM | Oct 13, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 11 | 91° | 91° to 92° | 3:25 PM | Oct 12, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 10 | 91° | 91° to 92° | 3:11 PM | Oct 11, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 9 | 91° | 90° to 91° | 3:40 PM | Oct 10, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 8 | 90° | 89° to 90° | 3:57 PM | Oct 9, 7:09 AM CDT |
| Wed, Oct 7 | 88° | 87° to 88° | 3:54 PM | Oct 8, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Tue, Oct 6 | 87° | 87° or abovetop tail | 3:43 PM | Oct 7, 7:10 AM CDT |
| Mon, Oct 5 | 86° | 86° to 87° | 3:48 PM | Oct 6, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Sun, Oct 4 | 78° | 79° or belowbottom tail | 5:01 PM | Oct 5, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Sat, Oct 3 | 74° | 74° to 75° | 5:12 PM | Oct 4, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Fri, Oct 2 | 80° | 79° to 80° | 3:46 PM | Oct 3, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Thu, Oct 1 | 81° | 81° to 82° | 1:01 AM | Oct 2, 7:11 AM CDT |
| Wed, Sep 30 | 91° | 91° to 92° | 12:12 PM | Oct 1, 7:11 AM CDT |
Source: Each market's result, settlement value and time: Kalshi's public market data; Time of the high: NWS climate reports for KDFW, via IEM
Over 361 days (Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 29, 2026), the median time of the official high was 3:47 PM local standard time, and half the highs came between 2:59 PM and 4:23 PM. Over the last 58 days the median was 3:40 PM.
DFW Airport's high came before 1 AM standard time (1 to 2 AM daylight time) on 11 of 361 days (3%): the climate day's warmest minutes were its first.
KDFW report times, standard time. 4 without a time (MM) left out.
Source: NWS climate reports for KDFW, via IEM; IEM table of NWS climate reports
Kalshi's Dallas market settles on DFW Airport (KDFW) and nothing else.
Love Field isn't among the NWS climate-report sites in the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's list (checked Oct 21, 2026), so there's no official daily high of its own to compare.
Polymarket's Dallas market settles on Dallas Love Field (KDAL), not DFW Airport (KDFW): the highest of its hourly readings in whole °F, over the local calendar day, in 2°F ranges. The two exchanges can settle the same day differently.
Kalshi vs Polymarket in Dallas: the stations and the last 30 days side by side
On 182 days from May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the NWS's afternoon preliminary report (usually "as of 4 PM" local time) had the same high as the final report on 162 of 182 days (89%). The final report came in higher on 20 and never lower.
Every one of those 20 higher finals put the high after the 4 PM cutoff.
Source: Every NWS climate report issued for KDFW (CLIDFW), via IEM's text archive
The normal high for Oct 31 is 72°F and the record high is 89°F. The normal falls to 62°F by Nov 30.
365 final highs at KDFW, Oct 30, 2025 to Oct 29, 2026, against the normal and record each report printed.
Source: NWS climate reports for KDFW, via IEM; NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals
Other reporting stations within 25 km (METARs only, no climate report): Dallas/Love Fld (KDAL, 19 km), Dallas/Addison Arpt (KADS, 19 km), Dallas (KNBE, 19 km), Grand Prairie Muni (KGPM, 23 km).
Straight-line distances from KDFW; snapshot Oct 21, 2026.
Source: IEM's list of NWS climate-report sites; aviationweather.gov station information
Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW), the station named by the climate-report code CLIDFW in the market's rules. Not Love Field.
Midnight to midnight CST, local standard time. During daylight saving that is 1:00 AM Oct 31 to 1:00 AM Nov 1 CDT.
Trading closes at 1:00 AM CDT after the day ends. Over the last 77 settled days the result posted a median of 6.2 hours after close.
72° or below, 73° to 74°, 75° to 76°, 77° to 78°, 79° to 80°, 81° or above, compared with DFW Airport's published whole-degree high. The two tails are strict.
On 10 of 77 settled days from Aug 14, 2026 to Oct 29, 2026 (13%): 8 on the bottom tail and 2 on the top tail.
Over 361 days to Oct 29, 2026, the median time of the official high at KDFW was 3:47 PM local standard time. On 11 of those days it came before 1 AM standard time.
From May 1, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026, the afternoon preliminary report's high matched the final report's on 162 of 182 days. The final was higher on 20 and lower on 0.
The rules every city shares · Reading CLIDFW · The Aug 14, 2026 change
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